Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.2%). Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 50.8% vs Lazar 51.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paquette 62.7%
Defensive zone
Paquette 51.5%
Neutral zone
Paquette 54.1%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Paquette
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Paquette
Lazar
Last 5: Paquette 2-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Paquette
Lazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
1
Paquette
Lazar
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Paquette
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (529)
53.8% (286)
-2.6%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
33.3% (3)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
41.7% (72)
+5.0%
On power play, Paquette has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Paquette is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Paquette shoots left. Lazar is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Paquette
Lazar
Home
51.9% (339)
53.1% (211)
Away
49.6% (282)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Paquette
Lazar
P1
52.7%
45.3%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
47.1%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
50.9%
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |