Scouting Report
Riley Sheahan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paquette wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.4% vs Sheahan 49.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 86.4%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 62.3%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 74.6%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Paquette
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Paquette
Sheahan
Last 7: Paquette 6-1 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
3
0
Paquette
Sheahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paquette
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
2
0
Paquette
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (197)
49.7% (829)
-4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
55.9% (102)
+44.1%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (36)
38.5% (39)
+19.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Paquette is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Paquette shoots left. Sheahan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Paquette
Sheahan
Home
51.0% (98)
50.1% (487)
Away
45.3% (137)
49.7% (483)
By Period
Paquette
Sheahan
P1
44.1%
51.0%
P2
51.2%
52.9%
P3
46.8%
46.6%
Final 5 min
43.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
47.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |