Chandler Stephenson vs Jansen Harkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.4%). Look for Harkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Harkins 50.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Harkins 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 52.7%
Neutral zone
Harkins 55.5%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Stephenson
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stephenson
Harkins
Last 6: Stephenson 1-5 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
3
Stephenson
Harkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Harkins
0
1
Stephenson
Harkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
49.7% (173)
+2.3%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
77.8% (9)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
66.7% (3)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Harkins has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Harkins is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Harkins
Home
53.1% (672)
55.3% (85)
Away
51.1% (628)
48.0% (100)
By Period
Stephenson
Harkins
P1
54.2%
71.4%
P2
50.7%
41.8%
P3
52.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jansen Harkins |