Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Domi 50.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 54.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 68.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Stephenson
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stephenson
Domi
Last 6: Stephenson 4-2 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Stephenson
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
50.0% (290)
+2.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
60.0% (30)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Domi
Home
53.1% (672)
51.1% (184)
Away
51.1% (628)
50.7% (136)
By Period
Stephenson
Domi
P1
54.2%
46.7%
P2
50.7%
51.3%
P3
52.0%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Domi
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:18 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |