Chandler Stephenson vs Shane Pinto
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Pinto 51.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 62.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Stephenson
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stephenson
Pinto
Last 8: Stephenson 5-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Stephenson
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
1
Stephenson
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
50.5% (556)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
68.0% (25)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
51.1% (94)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Pinto
Home
53.1% (672)
50.0% (310)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Stephenson
Pinto
P1
54.2%
51.8%
P2
50.7%
49.8%
P3
52.0%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |