Chandler Stephenson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 54.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 53.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 55.4%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Stephenson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stephenson
Girgensons
Last 6: Stephenson 2-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Stephenson
Girgensons
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Stephenson
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
45.1% (164)
+6.9%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
50.0% (2)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
45.2% (31)
-5.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Girgensons
Home
53.1% (672)
44.6% (92)
Away
51.1% (628)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Stephenson
Girgensons
P1
54.2%
44.2%
P2
50.7%
46.0%
P3
52.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |