Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Coyle 50.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 55.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 57.5%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Henrique
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Coyle
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Henrique
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
52.3% (853)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
44.4% (63)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
44.5% (191)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Henrique
Coyle
Home
52.4% (227)
49.0% (567)
Away
55.2% (324)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Henrique
Coyle
P1
57.0%
49.5%
P2
52.5%
49.4%
P3
52.4%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |