Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.6%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Rossi 49.7% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 63.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 54.8%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Coyle
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Rossi
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
1
Coyle
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
1
Coyle
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
51.6% (440)
+0.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
35.1% (37)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
37.0% (27)
+7.5%
On power play, Coyle has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rossi
Home
49.0% (567)
50.0% (260)
Away
52.0% (540)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Coyle
Rossi
P1
49.5%
53.7%
P2
49.4%
47.6%
P3
52.6%
47.4%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |