Scouting Report
Adam Fantilli holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Fantilli wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kreider shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.3% vs Kreider 43.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 70.8%
Defensive zone
Fantilli 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kreider 61.2%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Fantilli
Kreider
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Fantilli
Kreider
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
0
1
Fantilli
Kreider
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kreider
0
1
Fantilli
Kreider
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Kreider
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,179)
43.5% (705)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (210)
36.6% (71)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
31.3% (32)
-0.5%
On power play, Fantilli has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kreider shoots left. Fantilli is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,604).
Fantilli shoots left. Kreider is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (509).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Kreider
Home
47.3% (1,209)
43.4% (417)
Away
42.9% (1,206)
41.4% (391)
By Period
Fantilli
Kreider
P1
43.8%
41.1%
P2
46.3%
43.8%
P3
45.9%
43.0%
OT
25.8%
28.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
45.1%
Kreider
42.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |