Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Tierney 48.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 57.7%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 65.8%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Cizikas
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Cizikas
Tierney
Last 5: Cizikas 5-0 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Tierney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Tierney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
49.2% (675)
+1.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
57.1% (21)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
43.8% (130)
-0.5%
On power play, Cizikas has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Cizikas is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Cizikas shoots left. Tierney is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Tierney
Home
49.8% (486)
50.7% (420)
Away
49.4% (360)
46.3% (406)
By Period
Cizikas
Tierney
P1
50.6%
45.2%
P2
46.0%
50.0%
P3
52.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:24 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |