Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tierney wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Ryan 51.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.2%
Defensive zone
Tierney 76.6%
Neutral zone
Tierney 60.2%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Tierney
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Tierney
Ryan
Last 10: Tierney 4-6 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Tierney
Ryan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Ryan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (487)
54.3% (245)
-7.9%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
37.5% (8)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (94)
41.5% (41)
-3.2%
On power play, Tierney has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Tierney is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Tierney shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Tierney
Ryan
Home
49.3% (286)
50.9% (167)
Away
42.1% (304)
53.5% (127)
By Period
Tierney
Ryan
P1
48.5%
44.0%
P2
41.1%
61.7%
P3
48.1%
50.5%
Final 5 min
36.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:39 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |