Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Wagner 49.0% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 18-7 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 98.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 83.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 91.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Horvat
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
7
(25 meetings)
18
7
Horvat
Wagner
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
0
Horvat
Wagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
6
Horvat
Wagner
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
1
Horvat
Wagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
50.8% (1,243)
+3.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
40.0% (20)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
42.0% (307)
+5.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Horvat
Wagner
Home
56.1% (8,401)
49.8% (817)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Horvat
Wagner
P1
54.1%
48.6%
P2
54.4%
48.6%
P3
55.0%
49.5%
OT
49.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |