Barrett Hayton vs Christian Dvorak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Dvorak 53.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 61.0%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 59.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 53.2%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Hayton
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Hayton
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Dvorak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
54.2% (804)
-1.8%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
54.2% (131)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
46.4% (84)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dvorak
Home
56.8% (433)
53.9% (497)
Away
47.4% (344)
53.3% (522)
By Period
Hayton
Dvorak
P1
52.8%
54.6%
P2
50.3%
53.2%
P3
55.4%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
34.8%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | OT | 01:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |