Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Dvorak 53.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 67.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 66.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Jenner
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Jenner
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Jenner
Dvorak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Jenner
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
54.2% (804)
-2.9%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
54.2% (131)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
46.4% (84)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Jenner
Dvorak
Home
52.7% (165)
53.9% (497)
Away
50.0% (144)
53.3% (522)
By Period
Jenner
Dvorak
P1
49.0%
54.6%
P2
45.0%
53.2%
P3
59.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |