Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Eller 55.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorak 67.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 54.3%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Dvorak
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Dvorak
Eller
Last 6: Dvorak 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Eller
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Dvorak
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
56.0% (459)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
77.8% (9)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
51.9% (54)
-5.5%
On power play, Eller has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Eller
Home
53.9% (497)
52.6% (215)
Away
53.3% (522)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Dvorak
Eller
P1
54.6%
54.1%
P2
53.2%
57.6%
P3
54.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.1%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |