Christian Dvorak vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Grigorenko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 47.1% vs Grigorenko 55.1% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 79.1%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 72.4%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 70.5%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Dvorak
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dvorak
Grigorenko
Last 5: Dvorak 4-1 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
3
0
Dvorak
Grigorenko
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Dvorak
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Grigorenko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (851)
54.8% (157)
-7.9%
Power Play
48.7% (113)
40.0% (5)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (42)
76.7% (30)
-36.2%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Dvorak is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Dvorak shoots left. Grigorenko is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Grigorenko
Home
47.5% (526)
64.4% (118)
Away
46.0% (480)
47.3% (74)
By Period
Dvorak
Grigorenko
P1
48.0%
54.2%
P2
46.3%
55.6%
P3
46.2%
63.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.8%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 12:28 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |