Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 45.6% vs Giroux 61.3% (-19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.0%
Defensive zone
Giroux 59.0%
Neutral zone
Newhook 59.9%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Newhook
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Giroux
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Newhook
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Newhook
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (174)
61.0% (420)
-17.3%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
66.4% (113)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
65.6% (163)
-15.6%
On power play, Giroux has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Newhook is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Newhook shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Newhook
Giroux
Home
45.4% (108)
66.6% (350)
Away
40.7% (86)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Newhook
Giroux
P1
39.0%
62.1%
P2
41.0%
64.7%
P3
50.0%
61.6%
OT
100.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
35.6%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
50.0%▲
43.0%
43.3%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | 3 | 00:42 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |