Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 35 meetings). Giroux wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 56.8% vs Spezza 54.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Giroux leads 52-48 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 59.1%
Defensive zone
Giroux 68.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 61.1%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Giroux
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
48
(100 meetings)
52
48
Giroux
Spezza
Last 10: Giroux 8-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
20
15
Giroux
Spezza
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
20
19
Giroux
Spezza
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
12
14
Giroux
Spezza
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (13,768)
54.4% (7,990)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.5% (4,061)
56.8% (1,726)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
57.3% (2,486)
52.7% (643)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Giroux is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (6,107).
Giroux shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Giroux
Spezza
Home
59.2% (10,192)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
54.6% (10,163)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Giroux
Spezza
P1
57.5%
55.7%
P2
56.1%
54.4%
P3
57.3%
54.1%
OT
51.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:02 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:33 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:11 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 05:45 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |