Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 47.8%). Look for Eakin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eakin wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.7% vs McDavid 48.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 56.0%
Defensive zone
Eakin 79.6%
Neutral zone
Eakin 59.4%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Eakin
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eakin
McDavid
Last 5: Eakin 4-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
1
Eakin
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
0
Eakin
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (508)
46.9% (633)
+2.5%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
69.2% (26)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
45.5% (11)
-1.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Eakin is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Eakin shoots left. McDavid is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Eakin
McDavid
Home
48.5% (330)
49.9% (353)
Away
48.6% (311)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Eakin
McDavid
P1
45.8%
46.6%
P2
50.2%
50.9%
P3
50.0%
45.9%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.5%
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:19 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |