Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.5% vs Pavelski 53.9% (-16.2%)
Offensive zone
Hodgson 50.4%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 63.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Hodgson
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (41)
53.4% (682)
-14.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
63.7% (168)
-63.7%
On power play, Pavelski has a +63.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Hodgson is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Hodgson shoots right. Pavelski is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Pavelski
Home
38.5% (26)
59.0% (527)
Away
37.5% (16)
49.3% (493)
By Period
Hodgson
Pavelski
P1
30.8%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
58.9%
P3
37.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
66.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
38.1%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%