Scouting Report
Adam Gaudette holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schwindt on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudette wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schwindt shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 49.9% vs Schwindt 46.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwindt 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudette 56.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 50.7%
Result
Cole Schwindt favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Gaudette
Schwindt
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gaudette
Schwindt
Last 6: Gaudette 3-3 Schwindt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Schwindt
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
1
0
Gaudette
Schwindt
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schwindt
1
3
Gaudette
Schwindt
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Schwindt
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (203)
43.4% (122)
+4.9%
Power Play
59.4% (32)
75.0% (4)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On power play, Schwindt has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwindt shoots right. Gaudette is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Gaudette shoots right. Schwindt is 36.8% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Schwindt
Home
48.9% (92)
40.3% (77)
Away
50.3% (149)
50.0% (58)
By Period
Gaudette
Schwindt
P1
48.8%
47.6%
P2
52.5%
42.9%
P3
48.1%
43.2%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.8%
Schwindt
44.0%▼
47.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Cole Schwindt |