Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.7%). Look for Sissons on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 52.7% vs Thornton 52.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 68.4%
Defensive zone
Sissons 82.4%
Neutral zone
Sissons 61.6%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Sissons
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sissons
Thornton
Last 6: Sissons 4-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Sissons
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
4
0
Sissons
Thornton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (569)
52.5% (638)
+2.5%
Power Play
54.2% (72)
57.1% (35)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (152)
50.0% (2)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Sissons is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Sissons shoots right. Thornton is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Sissons
Thornton
Home
54.4% (419)
54.8% (341)
Away
51.6% (374)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Sissons
Thornton
P1
51.6%
55.2%
P2
55.4%
56.5%
P3
52.3%
47.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
56.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |