Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.3% vs 40.3%). Bedard wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.9% vs Brown 43.0% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Brown 54.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 62.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.6%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (1,413)
39.7% (237)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.5% (68)
57.1% (7)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (22)
42.9% (14)
+2.6%
On power play, Brown has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
42.9% (707)
41.2% (148)
Away
38.1% (796)
39.1% (110)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
38.3%
36.6%
P2
39.8%
43.0%
P3
43.1%
41.2%
OT
38.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
32.0%▼
47.5%
40.3%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.3%