Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.9% vs 40.3%). Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Brown 43.0% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Brown 53.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 61.1%
Neutral zone
Brown 50.4%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Bedard
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
39.7% (237)
+0.5%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
57.1% (7)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Brown is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Bedard
Brown
Home
43.3% (785)
41.2% (148)
Away
38.9% (957)
39.1% (110)
By Period
Bedard
Brown
P1
38.9%
36.6%
P2
41.2%
43.0%
P3
42.5%
41.2%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.3%