Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Bennett 48.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 53.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 69.3%
Neutral zone
Bedard 59.9%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Bedard
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bedard
Bennett
Last 6: Bedard 1-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
1
0
Bedard
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Bedard
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Bedard
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
46.4% (811)
-2.2%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
56.9% (153)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
47.8% (46)
+6.0%
On power play, Bedard has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Bennett is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Bedard
Bennett
Home
50.7% (223)
49.9% (553)
Away
42.6% (331)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Bedard
Bennett
P1
40.2%
47.4%
P2
49.2%
46.8%
P3
47.2%
48.9%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |