Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 46.5% vs Blueger 48.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bedard 61.8%
Defensive zone
Blueger 70.1%
Neutral zone
Blueger 67.6%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Bedard
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bedard
Blueger
Last 6: Bedard 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bedard
2
0
Bedard
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bedard
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (505)
49.4% (265)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (36)
66.7% (9)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (13)
34.0% (50)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Bedard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Bedard shoots right. Blueger is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Bedard
Blueger
Home
50.7% (223)
49.8% (215)
Away
42.6% (331)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Bedard
Blueger
P1
40.2%
46.4%
P2
49.2%
50.4%
P3
47.2%
44.8%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
45.8%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |