Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dewar shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Dewar 45.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 92.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 71.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 82.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Lizotte
Dewar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lizotte
Dewar
Last 5: Lizotte 4-1 Dewar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Dewar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dewar
0
1
Lizotte
Dewar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Dewar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Dewar
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
45.4% (443)
+7.1%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
75.0% (8)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
28.8% (52)
+12.6%
On power play, Dewar has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dewar shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Dewar is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Dewar
Home
51.4% (383)
43.3% (238)
Away
50.9% (424)
44.9% (265)
By Period
Lizotte
Dewar
P1
48.8%
41.7%
P2
51.0%
46.1%
P3
53.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Dewar
46.0%▬
46.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Connor Dewar |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |