Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for White on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). White wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
White 43.8% vs McDavid 49.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
White leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 83.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 64.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 62.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
White
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
White
McDavid
Last 10: White 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
5
2
White
McDavid
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
White
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
White
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
White
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (366)
49.1% (621)
-6.2%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
78.6% (14)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
0.0% (3)
+25.0%
On power play, McDavid has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. White is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (289).
White shoots right. McDavid is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
White
McDavid
Home
45.2% (186)
56.1% (330)
Away
39.8% (216)
42.5% (308)
By Period
White
McDavid
P1
43.0%
49.2%
P2
46.7%
47.4%
P3
36.4%
53.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
White
34.0%▼
40.0%
42.3%
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:18 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Colin White |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Colin White |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Colin White |