Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Staal 51.1% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 66.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 66.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
McDavid
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McDavid
Staal
Last 10: McDavid 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
McDavid
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
McDavid
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
51.0% (930)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
54.4% (125)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
48.3% (60)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
McDavid
Staal
Home
42.8% (451)
53.5% (561)
Away
40.0% (458)
48.9% (554)
By Period
McDavid
Staal
P1
38.0%
50.1%
P2
44.9%
50.3%
P3
41.7%
53.1%
OT
20.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
41.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Eric Staal |