Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Compher 51.3% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 71.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 71.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 74.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
McMichael
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Compher
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
McMichael
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
McMichael
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
McMichael
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
53.1% (784)
-10.2%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
54.8% (31)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
36.8% (95)
+2.2%
On even strength, Compher has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Compher is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
McMichael
Compher
Home
43.0% (298)
51.3% (452)
Away
42.6% (270)
51.5% (458)
By Period
McMichael
Compher
P1
46.6%
54.9%
P2
40.8%
49.0%
P3
41.8%
50.6%
Final 5 min
43.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |