Scouting Report
Pius Suter holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Suter 48.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 56.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 53.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 51.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
McMichael
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McMichael
Suter
Last 5: McMichael 2-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
McMichael
Suter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Suter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
0
2
McMichael
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
49.7% (370)
-6.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
44.4% (18)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
39.8% (83)
-0.8%
On even strength, Suter has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Suter is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
McMichael
Suter
Home
43.0% (298)
47.1% (242)
Away
42.6% (270)
48.5% (229)
By Period
McMichael
Suter
P1
46.6%
48.2%
P2
40.8%
47.4%
P3
41.8%
48.8%
Final 5 min
43.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Suter
38.0%▼
47.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:11 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |