Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sissons wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zary shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.8% vs Zary 47.1% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 89.2%
Defensive zone
Sissons 50.4%
Neutral zone
Zary 64.6%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Sissons
Zary
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sissons
Zary
Last 9: Sissons 3-6 Zary
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
0
1
Sissons
Zary
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
1
3
Sissons
Zary
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sissons
Zary
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Zary
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (436)
47.1% (136)
+10.5%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
31.6% (19)
+33.4%
On power play, Sissons has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zary shoots left. Sissons is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Sissons shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Sissons
Zary
Home
53.3% (274)
45.6% (79)
Away
60.0% (305)
44.7% (76)
By Period
Sissons
Zary
P1
55.7%
48.3%
P2
58.3%
46.3%
P3
56.4%
39.5%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
64.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Connor Zary |