Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Eichel 48.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.4%
Defensive zone
Zary 50.7%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.3%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Zary
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zary
Eichel
Last 6: Zary 2-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
Zary
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
48.2% (909)
-1.1%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
55.2% (67)
-23.6%
On power play, Eichel has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Zary
Eichel
Home
45.6% (79)
48.0% (564)
Away
44.7% (76)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Zary
Eichel
P1
48.3%
49.8%
P2
46.3%
48.6%
P3
39.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |