Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Perry wins 34.3% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 37.2% vs Vatrano 41.6% (-5.6%)
Offensive zone
Vatrano 54.6%
Defensive zone
Perry 52.7%
Neutral zone
Perry 52.7%
Result
Corey Perry favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Perry
Vatrano
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (197)
38.3% (209)
-7.3%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
29.4% (17)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (33)
44.4% (18)
-5.0%
On even strength, Vatrano has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Perry is 34.3% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Perry shoots right. Vatrano is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Perry
Vatrano
Home
31.5% (130)
37.1% (116)
Away
33.3% (138)
39.1% (128)
By Period
Perry
Vatrano
P1
34.3%
37.8%
P2
30.2%
33.3%
P3
33.3%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
26.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
34.0%▲
29.5%
32.5%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
38.1%