Scouting Report
Jason Pominville holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Adams on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pominville shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Pominville 45.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pominville 86.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 69.8%
Neutral zone
Pominville 66.2%
Result
Jason Pominville favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Adams
Pominville
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Adams
Pominville
Last 5: Adams 4-1 Pominville
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Pominville
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adams
3
1
Adams
Pominville
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Pominville
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
44.8% (87)
-0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
40.7% (54)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
42.9% (14)
-4.6%
On power play, Adams has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pominville shoots right. Adams is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Adams shoots right. Pominville is 29.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Adams
Pominville
Home
37.1% (213)
51.3% (80)
Away
45.6% (252)
34.7% (75)
By Period
Adams
Pominville
P1
46.6%
62.5%
P2
35.8%
28.3%
P3
43.0%
44.4%
OT
100.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
39.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Pominville
50.0%▼
52.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jason Pominville |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Craig Adams |