Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Adams wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 43.2% vs Bozak 54.3% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 76.7%
Defensive zone
Adams 84.6%
Neutral zone
Adams 78.2%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Adams
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Adams
Bozak
Last 7: Adams 1-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
3
Adams
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Adams
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Adams
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (280)
54.2% (962)
-9.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.9% (266)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (175)
52.1% (188)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Adams is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Adams shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Adams
Bozak
Home
37.1% (213)
58.6% (732)
Away
45.6% (252)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Adams
Bozak
P1
46.6%
54.1%
P2
35.8%
55.0%
P3
43.0%
54.1%
OT
100.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Craig Adams |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |