Scouting Report
Carl Soderberg holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Soderberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 47.5% vs Smith 38.2% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Soderberg 59.2%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 98.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 86.2%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Soderberg
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Soderberg
Smith
Last 7: Soderberg 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Soderberg
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
6
0
Soderberg
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (559)
33.9% (177)
+13.1%
Power Play
63.6% (77)
30.8% (52)
+32.8%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (83)
0.0% (1)
+32.5%
On power play, Soderberg has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Soderberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Soderberg shoots left. Smith is 30.9% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Smith
Home
46.1% (369)
37.0% (119)
Away
48.3% (350)
28.8% (111)
By Period
Soderberg
Smith
P1
49.2%
37.5%
P2
47.7%
32.5%
P3
44.7%
27.3%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.0%
29.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.1%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
33.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |