Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Larsson 49.5% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 52.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 61.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 56.3%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Lazar
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Larsson
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Lazar
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Larsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
50.5% (4,382)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
47.7% (153)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
43.8% (714)
-1.9%
On power play, Lazar has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Larsson is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,847).
Home / Away
Lazar
Larsson
Home
50.1% (1,549)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Lazar
Larsson
P1
48.9%
51.6%
P2
48.9%
49.7%
P3
49.5%
47.2%
OT
56.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 01:03 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |