Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Suomela wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Joshua shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 48.5% vs Joshua 50.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suomela 53.2%
Defensive zone
Suomela 53.0%
Neutral zone
Joshua 54.7%
Result
Antti Suomela favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Suomela
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Suomela
Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suomela
1
0
Suomela
Joshua
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (338)
51.9% (289)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
60.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
25.0% (20)
+0.0%
On even strength, Joshua has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Suomela is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Suomela shoots left. Joshua is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Suomela
Joshua
Home
53.0% (183)
48.3% (149)
Away
42.7% (164)
52.4% (170)
By Period
Suomela
Joshua
P1
50.5%
55.1%
P2
43.3%
44.7%
P3
51.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
46.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
48.1%
Joshua
32.0%▼
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:47 | Offensive | Antti Suomela |