Dalibor Dvorsky vs Mavrik Bourque
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dalibor Dvorsky holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Dvorsky wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.5% vs Bourque 46.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 66.1%
Defensive zone
Bourque 64.4%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 55.8%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Dvorsky
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dvorsky
Bourque
Last 5: Dvorsky 3-2 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Bourque
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Dvorsky
Bourque
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
2
0
Dvorsky
Bourque
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (550)
46.8% (186)
+0.8%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
23.5% (17)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On power play, Dvorsky has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Dvorsky shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Bourque
Home
47.3% (298)
41.5% (106)
Away
46.8% (331)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Dvorsky
Bourque
P1
48.4%
40.6%
P2
45.7%
39.0%
P3
47.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
43.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |