Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.2%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dvorsky wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.5% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 67.4%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.6%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.3%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Last 6: Dvorsky 1-5 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
4
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
1
0
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (550)
45.9% (697)
+1.7%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
47.9% (117)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.0% (25)
+2.0%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Dvorsky shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
Home
47.3% (298)
44.9% (434)
Away
46.8% (331)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Dvorsky
Schmaltz
P1
48.4%
41.5%
P2
45.7%
46.7%
P3
47.0%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |