Daniel Winnik vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 46.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 67.9%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Winnik 4-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
1
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winnik
1
0
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (166)
48.3% (633)
-4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
64.6% (48)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (30)
43.0% (86)
+0.3%
On power play, Winnik has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Winnik shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.8% (89)
52.0% (419)
Away
38.2% (110)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Winnik
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.1%
51.5%
P2
43.1%
45.9%
P3
43.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |