Danila Yurov vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 85.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 66.0%
Neutral zone
Yurov 59.4%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Yurov
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Yurov
Gaudreau
Last 8: Yurov 2-6 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
2
Yurov
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Yurov
Gaudreau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
44.9% (414)
-5.1%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
31.8% (22)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
38.0% (129)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Yurov
Gaudreau
Home
43.1% (332)
42.6% (277)
Away
35.4% (322)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Yurov
Gaudreau
P1
37.3%
44.1%
P2
38.9%
44.7%
P3
41.9%
39.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |