Scouting Report
Josh Samanski holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Samanski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Yurov wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Samanski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Samanski 50.9% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 50.4%
Defensive zone
Yurov 60.7%
Neutral zone
Yurov 54.3%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Yurov
Samanski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Yurov
Samanski
Last 5: Yurov 2-3 Samanski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Samanski
1
3
Yurov
Samanski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Samanski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Samanski
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
52.9% (68)
-13.1%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
0.0% (1)
+27.8%
On power play, Yurov has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Samanski shoots left. Yurov is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Yurov shoots left. Samanski is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Yurov
Samanski
Home
43.1% (332)
58.1% (43)
Away
35.4% (322)
42.3% (26)
By Period
Yurov
Samanski
P1
37.3%
55.6%
P2
38.9%
50.0%
P3
41.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
40.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Samanski
50.0%▼
52.2%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:43 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Josh Samanski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Josh Samanski |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Josh Samanski |