Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 73.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 90.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 90.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 88.3%
11.7%
88.3%
Yurov
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Yurov
Zibanejad
Last 7: Yurov 5-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
0
Yurov
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
2
0
Yurov
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Yurov
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
53.3% (807)
-13.5%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
47.6% (42)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
46.3% (147)
-21.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Yurov
Zibanejad
Home
43.1% (332)
49.8% (466)
Away
35.4% (322)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Yurov
Zibanejad
P1
37.3%
52.9%
P2
38.9%
51.2%
P3
41.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
40.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |