Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 87.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 85.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Yurov
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Yurov
Gourde
Last 5: Yurov 4-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
3
0
Yurov
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Yurov
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
47.2% (687)
-7.4%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
45.0% (20)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
33.0% (88)
-8.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Yurov is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Yurov shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Yurov
Gourde
Home
43.1% (332)
44.4% (356)
Away
35.4% (322)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Yurov
Gourde
P1
37.3%
42.2%
P2
38.9%
50.0%
P3
41.9%
44.5%
Final 5 min
40.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |