Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Dowell 49.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Dowell leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowell 71.1%
Defensive zone
Dowell 62.9%
Neutral zone
Dowell 66.6%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Helm
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Helm
Dowell
Last 10: Helm 2-8 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
3
Helm
Dowell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
2
Helm
Dowell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
1
3
Helm
Dowell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
49.9% (573)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
33.3% (12)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
43.8% (64)
+6.8%
On power play, Helm has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Helm shoots left. Dowell is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Helm
Dowell
Home
56.5% (444)
52.5% (303)
Away
49.0% (494)
45.8% (349)
By Period
Helm
Dowell
P1
54.6%
49.5%
P2
51.8%
47.0%
P3
51.4%
50.7%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Darren Helm |