Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bolland wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.7% vs Spezza 54.4% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bolland 58.7%
Defensive zone
Bolland 86.8%
Neutral zone
Bolland 71.8%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Bolland
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bolland
Spezza
Last 6: Bolland 1-5 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Bolland
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (264)
53.2% (763)
-7.4%
Power Play
76.2% (21)
60.9% (197)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (56)
57.1% (21)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Bolland is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Bolland shoots right. Spezza is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Bolland
Spezza
Home
45.9% (170)
57.5% (518)
Away
45.6% (171)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Bolland
Spezza
P1
39.5%
55.4%
P2
49.3%
54.1%
P3
48.4%
55.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |