Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 46.8% vs Thornton 57.4% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 81.0%
Neutral zone
Thornton 80.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 80.8%
19.2%
80.8%
Bolland
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bolland
Thornton
Last 6: Bolland 4-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
2
0
Bolland
Thornton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Bolland
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (411)
57.0% (540)
-10.5%
Power Play
41.9% (74)
64.0% (111)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
62.0% (50)
-10.5%
On power play, Thornton has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Bolland is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Bolland shoots right. Thornton is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Bolland
Thornton
Home
51.4% (280)
56.7% (353)
Away
39.9% (238)
60.3% (348)
By Period
Bolland
Thornton
P1
48.0%
59.3%
P2
41.5%
60.1%
P3
48.3%
57.1%
OT
57.1%
47.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |