Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.9%). Look for Ryder on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bolland wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ryder shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 48.5% vs Ryder 49.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryder 69.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 82.5%
Neutral zone
Bolland 51.0%
Result
Michael Ryder favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Bolland
Ryder
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bolland
Ryder
Last 5: Bolland 2-3 Ryder
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryder
1
3
Bolland
Ryder
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Ryder
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Ryder
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (913)
45.6% (57)
+3.9%
Power Play
48.3% (87)
57.1% (14)
-8.8%
On power play, Ryder has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryder shoots right. Bolland is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Bolland shoots right. Ryder is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Bolland
Ryder
Home
50.8% (622)
51.4% (37)
Away
45.8% (581)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Bolland
Ryder
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
46.9%
P3
50.9%
47.1%
OT
39.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Ryder
34.0%▼
45.3%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Michael Ryder |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:19 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Michael Ryder |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Michael Ryder |