Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bolland wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bolland 45.0% vs Jokinen 42.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 52.2%
Defensive zone
Bolland 57.4%
Neutral zone
Bolland 51.4%
Result
Dave Bolland favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Bolland
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bolland
Jokinen
Last 6: Bolland 3-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
0
Bolland
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Bolland
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bolland
Jokinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bolland
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (716)
40.4% (275)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.1% (74)
50.0% (14)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (141)
39.0% (41)
-2.1%
On power play, Bolland has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Bolland is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Bolland shoots right. Jokinen is 35.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Bolland
Jokinen
Home
45.5% (446)
37.9% (145)
Away
43.5% (485)
42.7% (185)
By Period
Bolland
Jokinen
P1
44.6%
48.2%
P2
45.6%
38.5%
P3
44.2%
34.7%
OT
27.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2015 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Dave Bolland |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |